Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Saad wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 45.0% vs Koivu 54.5% (-13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Saad 76.2%
Defensive zone
Saad 64.6%
Neutral zone
Saad 72.2%
Result
Brandon Saad favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Saad
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Saad
Koivu
Last 6: Saad 1-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Saad
Koivu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Saad
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Saad
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (90)
54.0% (948)
-14.0%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
58.7% (225)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
54.3% (138)
-21.0%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Saad is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Saad shoots left. Koivu is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Saad
Koivu
Home
44.9% (69)
59.8% (669)
Away
35.8% (53)
49.7% (642)
By Period
Saad
Koivu
P1
43.2%
53.4%
P2
31.9%
56.2%
P3
53.1%
56.3%
OT
33.3%
36.7%
Final 5 min
41.7%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
38.0%
41.0%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2014 | 2 | 17:43 | Defensive | Brandon Saad |
| Apr 3, 2014 | 1 | 18:24 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 17:59 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 05:42 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 28, 2013 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |