Scouting Report
Olli Jokinen holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Saad wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 42.8% vs Jokinen 46.4% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Saad 74.7%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 55.2%
Neutral zone
Saad 58.7%
Result
Brandon Saad favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Saad
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Saad
Jokinen
Last 6: Saad 2-4 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
2
Saad
Jokinen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
2
Saad
Jokinen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
40.6% (532)
45.8% (3,924)
-5.2%
Power Play
49.6% (113)
50.8% (585)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (68)
42.9% (247)
-4.7%
On even strength, Jokinen has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Saad is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (435).
Saad shoots left. Jokinen is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,240).
Home / Away
Saad
Jokinen
Home
42.5% (367)
47.4% (2,345)
Away
41.0% (346)
45.3% (2,443)
By Period
Saad
Jokinen
P1
41.7%
45.6%
P2
41.2%
47.5%
P3
43.1%
45.4%
OT
36.4%
56.1%
Final 5 min
38.5%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
38.0%
41.8%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 3 | 19:22 | Defensive | Brandon Saad |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 1 | 03:28 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 2 | 02:16 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | Brandon Saad |