Scouting Report
Olli Jokinen holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Saad wins 39.7% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Saad 45.0% vs Jokinen 46.3% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Saad 68.6%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 67.8%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 52.7%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Saad
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Saad
Jokinen
Last 5: Saad 2-3 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Saad
Jokinen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
2
Saad
Jokinen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Saad
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (90)
45.3% (1,142)
-5.3%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
53.4% (131)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
43.9% (57)
-10.6%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Saad is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Saad shoots left. Jokinen is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Home / Away
Saad
Jokinen
Home
44.9% (69)
48.8% (692)
Away
35.8% (53)
42.9% (638)
By Period
Saad
Jokinen
P1
43.2%
44.9%
P2
31.9%
45.7%
P3
53.1%
46.9%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Saad
28.0%▼
38.0%
41.0%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2014 | 3 | 19:22 | Defensive | Brandon Saad |
| Jan 26, 2014 | 1 | 03:28 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 2 | 02:16 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | Brandon Saad |