Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.3% vs Sutter 49.2% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sutter 60.4%
Defensive zone
Sutter 60.8%
Neutral zone
Sutter 66.7%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Lowry
Sutter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lowry
Sutter
Last 6: Lowry 2-4 Sutter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
2
Lowry
Sutter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
0
1
Lowry
Sutter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Sutter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Sutter
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (491)
49.6% (274)
+6.6%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
50.0% (26)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (140)
46.2% (78)
-2.6%
On power play, Lowry has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sutter shoots right. Lowry is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Lowry shoots left. Sutter is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Home / Away
Lowry
Sutter
Home
57.8% (341)
46.6% (178)
Away
49.4% (308)
51.0% (200)
By Period
Lowry
Sutter
P1
53.2%
43.5%
P2
54.4%
51.7%
P3
53.0%
52.4%
OT
80.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.5%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
53.8%
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2019 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 3 | 15:26 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 2 | 13:02 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 2 | 05:02 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 2 | 01:45 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 8, 2019 | 1 | 07:57 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |