Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Shaw wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Sutter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 44.1% vs Sutter 47.9% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 88.8%
Defensive zone
Shaw 55.3%
Neutral zone
Shaw 73.1%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Shaw
Sutter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Shaw
Sutter
Last 6: Shaw 1-5 Sutter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
0
1
Shaw
Sutter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
4
Shaw
Sutter
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Sutter
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (636)
49.6% (863)
-5.7%
Power Play
32.4% (37)
50.0% (72)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
39.5% (215)
+6.0%
On power play, Sutter has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sutter shoots right. Shaw is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (215).
Shaw shoots right. Sutter is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Shaw
Sutter
Home
46.3% (363)
48.5% (542)
Away
39.9% (321)
47.0% (608)
By Period
Shaw
Sutter
P1
47.4%
49.2%
P2
43.0%
49.4%
P3
40.0%
44.6%
OT
46.2%
52.9%
Final 5 min
39.8%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.3%
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2014 | 3 | 11:12 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 2 | 13:30 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 17:52 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 1 | 16:21 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |