Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings). Tkachuk wins 39.6% vs right-shot opponents — Sutter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 48.1% vs Sutter 54.6% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Sutter leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 89.4%
Defensive zone
Sutter 80.7%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 58.9%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Tkachuk
Sutter
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Tkachuk
Sutter
Last 10: Tkachuk 5-5 Sutter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
10
0
Tkachuk
Sutter
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
0
8
Tkachuk
Sutter
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
0
3
Tkachuk
Sutter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Sutter
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (99)
55.4% (390)
-6.9%
Power Play
46.7% (150)
66.7% (12)
-20.0%
On power play, Sutter has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sutter shoots right. Tkachuk is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Tkachuk shoots left. Sutter is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Sutter
Home
50.7% (136)
57.3% (260)
Away
43.4% (113)
53.6% (237)
By Period
Tkachuk
Sutter
P1
45.9%
54.4%
P2
54.4%
57.3%
P3
42.2%
54.8%
Final 5 min
41.8%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
47.4%
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 05:59 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 26, 2021 | 2 | 14:45 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 14:14 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 11:27 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 07:36 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 16:37 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 08:39 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 13:01 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 15:15 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 15:00 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 12:24 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 19:13 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |