Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Nelson 48.3% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 13-13 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Nelson 74.1%
Defensive zone
Sutter 64.7%
Neutral zone
Nelson 55.3%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Sutter
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
13
(26 meetings)
13
13
Sutter
Nelson
Last 10: Sutter 5-5 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
4
7
Sutter
Nelson
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
6
2
Sutter
Nelson
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
4
Sutter
Nelson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
47.9% (9,695)
+3.0%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
54.5% (1,132)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
43.8% (783)
+2.6%
On even strength, Sutter has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Sutter is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,698).
Sutter shoots right. Nelson is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,075).
Home / Away
Sutter
Nelson
Home
50.6% (5,050)
50.0% (5,845)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
46.5% (5,766)
By Period
Sutter
Nelson
P1
48.7%
48.7%
P2
50.3%
48.5%
P3
51.5%
47.7%
OT
50.0%
45.6%
Final 5 min
49.4%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 16:34 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 11:00 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 2 | 00:52 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 10:49 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 3 | 19:40 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 18:47 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 18:11 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 15:01 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 3 | 15:32 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 3 | 06:53 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 2 | 07:43 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 3 | 14:32 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 2 | 17:16 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 17:27 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 17:13 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 1 | 16:49 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |