Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs O'Reilly 47.3% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Sutter leads 15-9 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 57.0%
Defensive zone
Sutter 92.2%
Neutral zone
Sutter 74.7%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Sutter
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
9
(24 meetings)
15
9
Sutter
O'Reilly
Last 10: Sutter 9-1 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
5
3
Sutter
O'Reilly
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Sutter
O'Reilly
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
6
2
Sutter
O'Reilly
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
46.5% (800)
+4.4%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
50.4% (129)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
50.0% (8)
-3.6%
On even strength, Sutter has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Sutter is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,698).
Sutter shoots right. O'Reilly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Sutter
O'Reilly
Home
50.6% (5,050)
50.6% (480)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
43.2% (465)
By Period
Sutter
O'Reilly
P1
48.7%
47.1%
P2
50.3%
46.7%
P3
51.5%
46.8%
OT
50.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
49.4%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2011 | 2 | 13:13 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 1 | 11:55 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 3 | 17:03 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 03:56 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 00:05 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 16:01 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 11:53 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 3 | 17:41 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 3 | 09:10 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 3 | 06:15 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 3 | 05:55 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 3 | 03:31 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 2 | 18:34 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 2 | 14:06 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 2 | 10:17 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 2 | 07:41 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 2 | 04:18 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 2 | 04:02 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |