Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.2% vs 50.1%). Look for Kelly on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Kelly 50.1% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Kelly leads 17-12 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Kelly 58.1%
Defensive zone
Sutter 52.2%
Neutral zone
Kelly 56.5%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Sutter
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
17
(29 meetings)
12
17
Sutter
Kelly
Last 10: Sutter 5-5 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
4
7
Sutter
Kelly
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Sutter
Kelly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
5
7
Sutter
Kelly
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
51.1% (3,010)
-0.2%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
60.6% (71)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
44.7% (689)
+1.7%
On power play, Kelly has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Sutter is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,698).
Sutter shoots right. Kelly is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,370).
Home / Away
Sutter
Kelly
Home
50.6% (5,050)
52.6% (1,965)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
47.4% (1,813)
By Period
Sutter
Kelly
P1
48.7%
49.2%
P2
50.3%
49.1%
P3
51.5%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
49.4%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 09:33 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 16:28 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 09:13 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 1 | 09:08 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 01:25 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 14:54 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 14:45 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 2 | 00:37 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 30, 2013 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Oct 30, 2013 | 3 | 01:05 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 3 | 19:57 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 00:27 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 06:22 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 01:36 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 3 | 15:26 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |