Brandon Sutter vs Connor McDavid
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs McDavid 47.8% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Sutter leads 36-26 in 62 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 55.2%
Defensive zone
Sutter 86.3%
Neutral zone
Sutter 70.6%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Sutter
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
26
(62 meetings)
36
26
Sutter
McDavid
Last 10: Sutter 3-7 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
9
7
Sutter
McDavid
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
14
4
Sutter
McDavid
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
13
15
Sutter
McDavid
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
47.7% (8,358)
+3.2%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
52.0% (371)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
43.4% (279)
+3.0%
On even strength, Sutter has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Sutter is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,698).
Sutter shoots right. McDavid is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,105).
Home / Away
Sutter
McDavid
Home
50.6% (5,050)
49.3% (4,570)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
46.1% (4,438)
By Period
Sutter
McDavid
P1
48.7%
46.5%
P2
50.3%
48.7%
P3
51.5%
48.3%
OT
50.0%
40.9%
Final 5 min
49.4%
50.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 04:23 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 2, 2019 | 2 | 11:58 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 2, 2019 | 2 | 08:19 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 2, 2019 | 1 | 09:26 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 2, 2019 | 1 | 06:12 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 16, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 12:58 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 05:46 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 10:36 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 1 | 06:19 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 05:54 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 00:26 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 17:14 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 07:29 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 14:10 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 10:16 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |