Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Helm on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sutter wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Helm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 54.0% vs Helm 51.2% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Helm 72.2%
Defensive zone
Helm 61.3%
Neutral zone
Helm 67.7%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 67.2%
32.8%
67.2%
Sutter
Helm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Sutter
Helm
Last 7: Sutter 2-5 Helm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sutter
Helm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sutter
Helm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helm
0
3
Sutter
Helm
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Helm
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (1,088)
51.3% (343)
+3.3%
Power Play
59.3% (150)
63.6% (44)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (214)
36.4% (33)
+12.7%
On penalty kill, Sutter has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helm shoots left. Sutter is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,013).
Sutter shoots right. Helm is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (147).
Home / Away
Sutter
Helm
Home
55.0% (714)
54.7% (212)
Away
53.5% (738)
48.1% (208)
By Period
Sutter
Helm
P1
54.3%
49.7%
P2
53.1%
52.6%
P3
54.8%
52.5%
OT
63.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
58.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 07:31 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 03:11 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 2 | 17:54 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 1 | 01:02 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Nov 10, 2016 | 1 | 04:24 | Neutral | Darren Helm |