Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.5% vs 52.0%). Sutter wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Backes shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 51.9% vs Backes 51.9% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sutter 56.9%
Defensive zone
Backes 53.8%
Neutral zone
Sutter 57.7%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Sutter
Backes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Sutter
Backes
Last 5: Sutter 4-1 Backes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
0
1
Sutter
Backes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
2
0
Sutter
Backes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
2
0
Sutter
Backes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Backes
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (187)
52.1% (893)
+1.9%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
54.4% (147)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
49.3% (152)
-0.3%
On power play, Backes has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backes shoots right. Sutter is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (84).
Sutter shoots right. Backes is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Sutter
Backes
Home
57.3% (164)
53.1% (573)
Away
45.6% (114)
51.1% (619)
By Period
Sutter
Backes
P1
49.4%
51.8%
P2
52.3%
52.3%
P3
54.3%
52.6%
OT
71.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.4%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
52.5%
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 19:40 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 16:14 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 02:04 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 1 | 11:13 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |