Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Larkin 52.7% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 18-13 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 64.9%
Defensive zone
Sutter 74.9%
Neutral zone
Sutter 57.3%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Sutter
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
18
(31 meetings)
13
18
Sutter
Larkin
Last 10: Sutter 2-8 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
12
Sutter
Larkin
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
8
2
Sutter
Larkin
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
4
Sutter
Larkin
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
51.7% (9,019)
-0.8%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
58.5% (2,125)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
50.2% (1,122)
-3.8%
On power play, Larkin has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Sutter is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,698).
Sutter shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,416).
Home / Away
Sutter
Larkin
Home
50.6% (5,050)
54.0% (6,238)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
51.3% (6,028)
By Period
Sutter
Larkin
P1
48.7%
52.7%
P2
50.3%
53.1%
P3
51.5%
52.1%
OT
50.0%
58.4%
Final 5 min
49.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 10:28 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 02:47 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 3 | 18:06 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 3 | 08:20 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 3 | 06:11 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 2 | 04:50 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 1 | 12:50 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 1 | 03:40 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 1 | 03:23 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 3 | 09:30 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 2 | 15:56 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |