Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 48.8% vs Malkin 46.1% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 88.5%
Defensive zone
Sutter 71.0%
Neutral zone
Malkin 57.5%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 73.4%
26.6%
73.4%
Sutter
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Sutter
Malkin
Last 6: Sutter 2-4 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
4
Sutter
Malkin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Malkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (343)
46.2% (807)
+2.8%
Power Play
64.7% (17)
30.4% (23)
+34.3%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (102)
33.3% (3)
+10.8%
On power play, Sutter has a +34.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Sutter is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (348).
Sutter shoots right. Malkin is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Sutter
Malkin
Home
46.8% (222)
45.1% (450)
Away
50.0% (240)
46.4% (384)
By Period
Sutter
Malkin
P1
41.5%
48.2%
P2
52.2%
43.5%
P3
51.3%
46.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.8%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
48.5%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 1 | 18:04 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 3 | 11:44 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 3 | 00:46 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 1 | 04:40 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |