Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Sutter wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nielsen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 44.7% vs Nielsen 46.6% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Sutter 52.4%
Defensive zone
Sutter 54.0%
Neutral zone
Sutter 54.7%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Sutter
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Sutter
Nielsen
Last 10: Sutter 3-7 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
3
0
Sutter
Nielsen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Sutter
Nielsen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
8
Sutter
Nielsen
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,027)
46.2% (766)
-1.5%
Power Play
45.3% (75)
43.4% (53)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (225)
48.0% (125)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, Nielsen has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Sutter is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (895).
Sutter shoots right. Nielsen is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Sutter
Nielsen
Home
44.3% (705)
46.8% (489)
Away
44.4% (644)
45.6% (476)
By Period
Sutter
Nielsen
P1
41.0%
45.5%
P2
42.1%
47.5%
P3
49.1%
46.5%
OT
50.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
46.6%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
44.3%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2011 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 3 | 13:46 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 1 | 18:14 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 2 | 05:55 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 1 | 19:16 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 2 | 02:35 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 2 | 02:31 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 1 | 15:53 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 1 | 15:48 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 1 | 10:12 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 1 | 03:36 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 1 | 01:12 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |