Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 51.6% vs McKegg 49.5% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sutter 60.6%
Defensive zone
Sutter 90.3%
Neutral zone
Sutter 76.3%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 83.3%
83.3%
16.7%
Sutter
McKegg
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Sutter
McKegg
Last 8: Sutter 6-2 McKegg
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
3
1
Sutter
McKegg
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
3
1
Sutter
McKegg
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (846)
48.1% (189)
+4.7%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
25.0% (4)
+35.0%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (241)
57.5% (40)
-10.2%
On power play, Sutter has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Sutter is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (722).
Sutter shoots right. McKegg is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Sutter
McKegg
Home
51.2% (529)
52.9% (102)
Away
52.2% (573)
46.6% (131)
By Period
Sutter
McKegg
P1
50.9%
48.5%
P2
52.8%
49.4%
P3
52.1%
50.9%
Final 5 min
47.7%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
51.7%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 18:40 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 3 | 02:29 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 2 | 02:20 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 16:39 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 08:33 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 04:06 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 03:52 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |