Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Sheppard on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sutter wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Sheppard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 47.9% vs Sheppard 46.5% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sheppard 68.4%
Defensive zone
Sutter 70.7%
Neutral zone
Sutter 51.6%
Result
James Sheppard favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Sutter
Sheppard
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Sutter
Sheppard
Last 6: Sutter 3-3 Sheppard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sheppard
1
2
Sutter
Sheppard
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Sheppard
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sutter
Sheppard
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Sheppard
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (863)
44.3% (221)
+5.3%
Power Play
50.0% (72)
63.6% (11)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (215)
0.0% (1)
+39.5%
On penalty kill, Sutter has a +39.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheppard shoots left. Sutter is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Sutter shoots right. Sheppard is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (103).
Home / Away
Sutter
Sheppard
Home
48.5% (542)
47.6% (147)
Away
47.0% (608)
40.7% (86)
By Period
Sutter
Sheppard
P1
49.2%
42.9%
P2
49.4%
40.3%
P3
44.6%
51.9%
Final 5 min
45.2%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
47.7%
Sheppard
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 11:24 | Neutral | James Sheppard |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | James Sheppard |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 01:30 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 16:21 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 10:58 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 07:39 | Offensive | James Sheppard |