Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sutter wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 54.0% vs Benn 51.2% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sutter 51.5%
Defensive zone
Sutter 79.9%
Neutral zone
Sutter 58.8%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Sutter
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Sutter
Benn
Last 5: Sutter 3-2 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Sutter
Benn
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
3
1
Sutter
Benn
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (1,088)
52.8% (233)
+1.8%
Power Play
59.3% (150)
53.8% (130)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (214)
38.8% (49)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Sutter has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Sutter is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,013).
Sutter shoots right. Benn is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Sutter
Benn
Home
55.0% (714)
52.4% (212)
Away
53.5% (738)
50.5% (200)
By Period
Sutter
Benn
P1
54.3%
55.8%
P2
53.1%
45.0%
P3
54.8%
53.4%
OT
63.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 10:54 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 10:54 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 2 | 02:33 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 1 | 09:52 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 1 | 08:12 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |