Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs McCann 43.0% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
McCann leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
McCann 80.2%
Defensive zone
Sutter 74.6%
Neutral zone
McCann 56.9%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Sutter
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Sutter
McCann
Last 10: Sutter 4-6 McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
0
4
Sutter
McCann
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
4
1
Sutter
McCann
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sutter
McCann
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
43.1% (3,178)
+7.8%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
40.0% (260)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
42.2% (173)
+4.2%
On power play, Sutter has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Sutter is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,698).
Sutter shoots right. McCann is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,310).
Home / Away
Sutter
McCann
Home
50.6% (5,050)
43.1% (1,758)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
42.5% (1,855)
By Period
Sutter
McCann
P1
48.7%
44.4%
P2
50.3%
41.7%
P3
51.5%
42.7%
OT
50.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
49.4%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2019 | 3 | 10:24 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 08:54 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 11:08 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 12:35 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 2 | 06:01 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 2 | 05:50 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 1 | 15:25 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |