Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.2% vs 50.3%). Look for Arnott on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Arnott 50.3% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Arnott leads 17-10 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Arnott 85.0%
Defensive zone
Sutter 70.3%
Neutral zone
Arnott 57.7%
Result
Jason Arnott favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Sutter
Arnott
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
17
(27 meetings)
10
17
Sutter
Arnott
Last 10: Sutter 4-6 Arnott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
1
8
Sutter
Arnott
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
6
6
Sutter
Arnott
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Sutter
Arnott
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Arnott
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
49.7% (1,444)
+1.2%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
53.8% (182)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
40.0% (15)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Sutter has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arnott shoots right. Sutter is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (3,385).
Sutter shoots right. Arnott is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Sutter
Arnott
Home
50.6% (5,050)
52.1% (891)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
48.2% (772)
By Period
Sutter
Arnott
P1
48.7%
46.1%
P2
50.3%
53.6%
P3
51.5%
50.1%
OT
50.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
49.4%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2011 | OT | 02:22 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 2 | 14:39 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 1 | 17:02 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 1 | 16:49 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 3 | 01:46 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 02:29 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 3 | 17:23 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 2 | 16:09 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 1 | 19:02 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 1 | 14:29 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 3 | 00:33 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 2 | 16:03 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |