Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 39 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Spezza 54.7% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 69-67 in 136 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 78.0%
Defensive zone
Sutter 72.6%
Neutral zone
Spezza 52.9%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Sutter
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
67
-
69
(136 meetings)
67
69
Sutter
Spezza
Last 10: Sutter 4-6 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
15
26
Sutter
Spezza
41 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
29
10
Sutter
Spezza
39 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
23
33
Sutter
Spezza
56 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
54.4% (7,990)
-3.5%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
56.8% (1,726)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
52.7% (643)
-6.3%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Sutter is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (3,385).
Sutter shoots right. Spezza is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,088).
Home / Away
Sutter
Spezza
Home
50.6% (5,050)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Sutter
Spezza
P1
48.7%
55.7%
P2
50.3%
54.4%
P3
51.5%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
49.4%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 01:59 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 19:24 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 01:54 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 18:33 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 07:47 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 07:25 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 19:59 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 16:23 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 08:04 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 18:02 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 | 09:22 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 01:57 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 2 | 16:43 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 14:05 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 03:58 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 29, 2020 | 2 | 06:26 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |