Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Sutter wins 62.2% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 54.6% vs Spezza 55.7% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 58.9%
Defensive zone
Sutter 62.6%
Neutral zone
Sutter 52.6%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Sutter
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
12
(19 meetings)
7
12
Sutter
Spezza
Last 10: Sutter 4-6 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
3
7
Sutter
Spezza
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
2
0
Sutter
Spezza
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
5
Sutter
Spezza
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (390)
57.9% (292)
-2.5%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
62.3% (53)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
54.7% (95)
52.9% (138)
+1.8%
On power play, Sutter has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Sutter is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (143).
Sutter shoots right. Spezza is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Sutter
Spezza
Home
57.3% (260)
58.4% (238)
Away
53.6% (237)
55.5% (245)
By Period
Sutter
Spezza
P1
54.4%
59.2%
P2
57.3%
54.8%
P3
54.8%
57.4%
Final 5 min
51.1%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
55.5%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 01:59 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 19:24 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 01:54 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 18:33 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 07:47 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 07:25 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 19:59 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 16:23 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 08:04 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 18:02 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 | 09:22 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 01:57 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 2 | 16:43 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 14:05 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 03:58 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |