Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Beagle 55.0% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 51.5%
Defensive zone
Beagle 66.1%
Neutral zone
Beagle 52.8%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Sutter
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Sutter
Beagle
Last 5: Sutter 3-2 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
1
Sutter
Beagle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sutter
Beagle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
2
0
Sutter
Beagle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (565)
55.7% (318)
-5.4%
Power Play
50.0% (64)
45.5% (11)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (132)
58.3% (115)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Sutter is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Sutter shoots right. Beagle is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (131).
Home / Away
Sutter
Beagle
Home
53.5% (381)
58.0% (226)
Away
46.8% (380)
54.1% (218)
By Period
Sutter
Beagle
P1
48.6%
54.7%
P2
52.1%
57.7%
P3
50.0%
56.1%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 1 | 13:53 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 3 | 09:07 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 3 | 02:03 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |