Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Carter 53.2% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 37-37 in 74 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 73.8%
Defensive zone
Sutter 62.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 55.1%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Sutter
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
37
-
37
(74 meetings)
37
37
Sutter
Carter
Last 10: Sutter 2-8 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
12
16
Sutter
Carter
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
15
10
Sutter
Carter
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
10
11
Sutter
Carter
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
53.3% (8,728)
-2.4%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
57.3% (1,554)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
46.3% (1,087)
+0.1%
On power play, Carter has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Sutter is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (3,385).
Sutter shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Home / Away
Sutter
Carter
Home
50.6% (5,050)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Sutter
Carter
P1
48.7%
53.6%
P2
50.3%
52.8%
P3
51.5%
53.1%
OT
50.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
49.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2019 | 3 | 08:24 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 3 | 12:34 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 2 | 08:47 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 9, 2019 | 1 | 12:37 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 09:37 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 1 | 14:10 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 1 | 05:21 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 1 | 03:28 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 2 | 17:58 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 1 | 08:23 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 1 | 08:11 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 13:11 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 08:24 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |