Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hecht on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sutter wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hecht shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 44.7% vs Hecht 43.9% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hecht 74.1%
Defensive zone
Sutter 59.3%
Neutral zone
Hecht 60.7%
Result
Jochen Hecht favored at 59.6%
40.4%
59.6%
Sutter
Hecht
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Sutter
Hecht
Last 6: Sutter 2-4 Hecht
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hecht
0
1
Sutter
Hecht
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Hecht
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hecht
1
3
Sutter
Hecht
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Hecht
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,027)
41.8% (558)
+2.9%
Power Play
45.3% (75)
44.4% (72)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (225)
47.3% (93)
-5.1%
On penalty kill, Hecht has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hecht shoots left. Sutter is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (895).
Sutter shoots right. Hecht is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Sutter
Hecht
Home
44.3% (705)
44.7% (356)
Away
44.4% (644)
41.6% (373)
By Period
Sutter
Hecht
P1
41.0%
41.9%
P2
42.1%
45.0%
P3
49.1%
42.0%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
46.6%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
44.3%
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 3 | 01:32 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 01:19 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 2 | 07:52 | Offensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 2 | 05:09 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 13, 2011 | 1 | 03:15 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |