Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Thornton 54.3% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Sutter leads 27-26 in 53 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 81.5%
Defensive zone
Sutter 64.1%
Neutral zone
Thornton 65.7%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Sutter
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
26
(53 meetings)
27
26
Sutter
Thornton
Last 10: Sutter 4-6 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
13
Sutter
Thornton
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
17
5
Sutter
Thornton
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
7
8
Sutter
Thornton
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
53.5% (6,640)
-2.6%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
57.2% (1,387)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
56.7% (427)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Sutter is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,698).
Sutter shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Home / Away
Sutter
Thornton
Home
50.6% (5,050)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Sutter
Thornton
P1
48.7%
55.0%
P2
50.3%
53.3%
P3
51.5%
54.4%
OT
50.0%
56.4%
Final 5 min
49.4%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2021 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 10:28 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 02:05 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 1 | 15:48 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 07:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 16:09 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 3 | 15:17 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 2 | 04:02 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 01:10 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 14:54 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 00:48 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 15:45 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |