Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sutter wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 54.0% vs Thornton 50.8% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sutter 69.4%
Defensive zone
Sutter 93.5%
Neutral zone
Sutter 70.0%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Sutter
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Sutter
Thornton
Last 8: Sutter 6-2 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Sutter
Thornton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
3
0
Sutter
Thornton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Thornton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (1,088)
49.8% (544)
+4.8%
Power Play
59.3% (150)
54.5% (178)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (214)
46.7% (15)
+2.4%
On even strength, Sutter has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Sutter is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,013).
Sutter shoots right. Thornton is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Sutter
Thornton
Home
55.0% (714)
54.9% (355)
Away
53.5% (738)
47.1% (382)
By Period
Sutter
Thornton
P1
54.3%
46.0%
P2
53.1%
52.5%
P3
54.8%
55.6%
OT
63.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 1 | 15:45 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 3 | 02:08 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 2 | 18:50 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 1 | 09:15 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |