Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Madden on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.5% vs Madden 49.6% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Madden 59.2%
Defensive zone
Sutter 59.0%
Neutral zone
Madden 52.6%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Sutter
Madden
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Sutter
Madden
Last 9: Sutter 4-5 Madden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Madden
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Madden
1
3
Sutter
Madden
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Sutter
Madden
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Madden
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,005)
49.6% (268)
+2.0%
Power Play
36.5% (52)
0.0% (5)
+36.5%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (211)
57.1% (35)
-8.3%
On power play, Sutter has a +36.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Madden shoots left. Sutter is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Sutter shoots right. Madden is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Home / Away
Sutter
Madden
Home
49.3% (663)
52.3% (151)
Away
51.7% (632)
46.9% (162)
By Period
Sutter
Madden
P1
48.0%
54.9%
P2
50.4%
54.1%
P3
53.4%
40.5%
Final 5 min
51.8%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.5%
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 13:59 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 09:26 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 06:39 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | John Madden |