Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sutter wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 47.9% vs Mitchell 50.0% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sutter 57.0%
Defensive zone
Sutter 59.9%
Neutral zone
Sutter 63.6%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Sutter
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Sutter
Mitchell
Last 6: Sutter 1-5 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
2
Sutter
Mitchell
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Mitchell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
3
Sutter
Mitchell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (863)
50.6% (607)
-1.0%
Power Play
50.0% (72)
61.2% (49)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (215)
40.2% (92)
-0.7%
On power play, Mitchell has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Sutter is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Sutter shoots right. Mitchell is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Sutter
Mitchell
Home
48.5% (542)
52.0% (406)
Away
47.0% (608)
47.7% (342)
By Period
Sutter
Mitchell
P1
49.2%
51.6%
P2
49.4%
44.0%
P3
44.6%
55.0%
OT
52.9%
42.9%
Final 5 min
45.2%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
47.7%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2014 | OT | 01:45 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 3 | 15:40 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 3 | 00:18 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 2 | 12:14 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Apr 6, 2014 | 1 | 18:05 | Offensive | John Mitchell |