Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 81 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Tavares 54.4% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Sutter leads 123-104 in 227 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 87.0%
Defensive zone
Sutter 74.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 66.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Sutter
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
123
-
104
(227 meetings)
123
104
Sutter
Tavares
Last 10: Sutter 7-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
21
62
Sutter
Tavares
83 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
63
18
Sutter
Tavares
81 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
39
24
Sutter
Tavares
63 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
54.0% (16,108)
-3.1%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
56.5% (4,283)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
50.6% (620)
-4.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Sutter is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,698).
Sutter shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Home / Away
Sutter
Tavares
Home
50.6% (5,050)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Sutter
Tavares
P1
48.7%
55.0%
P2
50.3%
54.1%
P3
51.5%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
55.9%
Final 5 min
49.4%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 13:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 00:50 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 07:08 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 12:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 07:14 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 01:16 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 06:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 16:53 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 10:28 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 18:07 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 14:07 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 01:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 07:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 01:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |