Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 51.6% vs Tavares 52.7% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 80.8%
Defensive zone
Sutter 81.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 53.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Sutter
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Sutter
Tavares
Last 7: Sutter 1-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
4
Sutter
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Sutter
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (846)
52.9% (1,239)
-0.1%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
54.7% (309)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (241)
50.0% (178)
-2.7%
On power play, Sutter has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Sutter is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (722).
Sutter shoots right. Tavares is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (602).
Home / Away
Sutter
Tavares
Home
51.2% (529)
55.0% (864)
Away
52.2% (573)
50.8% (862)
By Period
Sutter
Tavares
P1
50.9%
51.8%
P2
52.8%
51.4%
P3
52.1%
54.5%
OT
30.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.7%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
51.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 15:35 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 04:45 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 04:29 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 1 | 01:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |