Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.5% vs 55.3%). Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 54.6% vs Tavares 54.7% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 14-14 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 76.0%
Defensive zone
Sutter 79.7%
Neutral zone
Sutter 51.7%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Sutter
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
14
(28 meetings)
14
14
Sutter
Tavares
Last 10: Sutter 7-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
8
Sutter
Tavares
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
11
4
Sutter
Tavares
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Sutter
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (390)
54.5% (692)
+0.9%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
59.1% (149)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
54.7% (95)
54.5% (11)
+0.2%
On power play, Sutter has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Sutter is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Sutter shoots right. Tavares is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Home / Away
Sutter
Tavares
Home
57.3% (260)
57.9% (404)
Away
53.6% (237)
52.9% (448)
By Period
Sutter
Tavares
P1
54.4%
54.2%
P2
57.3%
55.1%
P3
54.8%
56.4%
Final 5 min
51.1%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
55.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 13:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 00:50 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 09:27 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 07:08 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 12:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 20, 2021 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 07:14 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 01:16 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 06:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 3 | 16:53 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 6, 2021 | 1 | 10:28 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 18:07 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 14:07 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 2 | 01:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 07:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 1 | 01:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |