Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Sutter wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 44.7% vs Toews 56.3% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 54.0%
Defensive zone
Sutter 82.0%
Neutral zone
Sutter 70.4%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Sutter
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Sutter
Toews
Last 8: Sutter 2-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
4
Sutter
Toews
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Sutter
Toews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,027)
55.6% (1,125)
-10.9%
Power Play
45.3% (75)
59.3% (312)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (225)
57.4% (204)
-15.2%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Sutter is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (895).
Sutter shoots right. Toews is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Sutter
Toews
Home
44.3% (705)
59.8% (858)
Away
44.4% (644)
53.3% (795)
By Period
Sutter
Toews
P1
41.0%
58.7%
P2
42.1%
55.1%
P3
49.1%
56.5%
OT
50.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
46.6%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
44.3%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2011 | 3 | 12:09 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 3 | 02:50 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 2 | 08:32 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 1 | 08:37 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |