Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Sutter wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 47.9% vs Toews 56.8% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Sutter 59.1%
Defensive zone
Sutter 91.9%
Neutral zone
Sutter 72.4%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Sutter
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Sutter
Toews
Last 10: Sutter 2-8 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
3
Sutter
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Sutter
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
2
3
Sutter
Toews
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (863)
55.9% (1,143)
-6.3%
Power Play
50.0% (72)
65.1% (304)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (215)
48.5% (97)
-9.0%
On power play, Toews has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Sutter is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Sutter shoots right. Toews is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (625).
Home / Away
Sutter
Toews
Home
48.5% (542)
61.7% (810)
Away
47.0% (608)
52.3% (734)
By Period
Sutter
Toews
P1
49.2%
56.0%
P2
49.4%
56.9%
P3
44.6%
59.3%
OT
52.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
61.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
47.7%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2014 | 2 | 08:10 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 1 | 06:14 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 1 | 00:16 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 1 | 00:08 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 30, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 14:05 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 13:49 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 10:07 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |