Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.6% vs Toews 56.2% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Sutter 54.0%
Defensive zone
Sutter 87.3%
Neutral zone
Sutter 66.5%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Sutter
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Sutter
Toews
Last 10: Sutter 2-8 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Sutter
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
4
Sutter
Toews
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
3
Sutter
Toews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,022)
54.9% (1,229)
-3.9%
Power Play
57.7% (104)
62.7% (354)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (233)
54.3% (92)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Sutter is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (853).
Sutter shoots right. Toews is 59.8% vs right-shot opponents (625).
Home / Away
Sutter
Toews
Home
51.4% (692)
57.6% (838)
Away
49.8% (667)
55.4% (837)
By Period
Sutter
Toews
P1
50.6%
58.0%
P2
49.1%
54.4%
P3
52.5%
56.7%
OT
45.8%
64.5%
Final 5 min
52.1%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.6%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2015 | OT | 03:45 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 3 | 19:18 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 3 | 18:41 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 3 | 14:38 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 3 | 12:34 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 3 | 02:56 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 2 | 16:20 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 2 | 03:05 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 21, 2015 | 1 | 10:30 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |