Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 48.8% vs Toews 56.0% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 58.0%
Defensive zone
Sutter 83.6%
Neutral zone
Sutter 62.8%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Sutter
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Sutter
Toews
Last 8: Sutter 2-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
3
Sutter
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Sutter
Toews
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Sutter
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (343)
56.5% (1,310)
-7.5%
Power Play
64.7% (17)
59.7% (325)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (102)
51.0% (245)
-6.9%
On even strength, Toews has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Sutter is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (348).
Sutter shoots right. Toews is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Sutter
Toews
Home
46.8% (222)
56.6% (927)
Away
50.0% (240)
56.0% (953)
By Period
Sutter
Toews
P1
41.5%
56.3%
P2
52.2%
55.8%
P3
51.3%
57.3%
OT
50.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
45.8%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
48.5%
Toews
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 18:51 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 06:27 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 06:15 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 14:01 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 17:09 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 16:03 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 13:43 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |