Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Bailey 45.5% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Sutter leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Bailey 54.9%
Defensive zone
Sutter 84.2%
Neutral zone
Sutter 72.3%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Sutter
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
10
(23 meetings)
13
10
Sutter
Bailey
Last 10: Sutter 7-3 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Sutter
Bailey
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
2
3
Sutter
Bailey
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
6
2
Sutter
Bailey
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
45.8% (1,991)
+5.1%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
48.1% (295)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
39.9% (281)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, Sutter has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Sutter is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,698).
Sutter shoots right. Bailey is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (995).
Home / Away
Sutter
Bailey
Home
50.6% (5,050)
46.6% (1,353)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
44.0% (1,232)
By Period
Sutter
Bailey
P1
48.7%
46.5%
P2
50.3%
44.8%
P3
51.5%
44.4%
OT
50.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
49.4%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2015 | 3 | 16:01 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 10, 2015 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 10, 2015 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Apr 10, 2015 | 2 | 08:44 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 10, 2015 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 1 | 15:50 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 06:01 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 3 | 05:10 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 18, 2012 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 21, 2012 | OT | 02:42 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 05:14 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 08:54 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 2 | 05:13 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |