Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.3% vs 44.4%). Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sutter wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 44.7% vs Bailey 45.2% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 50.7%
Defensive zone
Sutter 75.5%
Neutral zone
Sutter 59.3%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Sutter
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Sutter
Bailey
Last 5: Sutter 4-1 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Bailey
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
2
1
Sutter
Bailey
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Bailey
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,027)
44.2% (441)
+0.5%
Power Play
45.3% (75)
48.1% (81)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (225)
41.7% (84)
+0.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Sutter is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (895).
Sutter shoots right. Bailey is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Sutter
Bailey
Home
44.3% (705)
43.1% (295)
Away
44.4% (644)
45.6% (320)
By Period
Sutter
Bailey
P1
41.0%
46.5%
P2
42.1%
45.7%
P3
49.1%
41.3%
OT
50.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
46.6%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
44.3%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2011 | 2 | 05:13 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 1 | 15:16 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 2 | 15:50 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 2 | 15:39 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |