Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.6% vs Bailey 48.2% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sutter 58.6%
Defensive zone
Sutter 77.0%
Neutral zone
Sutter 73.3%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Sutter
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Sutter
Bailey
Last 6: Sutter 4-2 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Sutter
Bailey
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
2
0
Sutter
Bailey
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,022)
49.0% (51)
+2.0%
Power Play
57.7% (104)
30.0% (10)
+27.7%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (233)
40.0% (5)
+5.9%
On power play, Sutter has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Sutter is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (853).
Sutter shoots right. Bailey is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
Sutter
Bailey
Home
51.4% (692)
40.6% (32)
Away
49.8% (667)
50.0% (34)
By Period
Sutter
Bailey
P1
50.6%
50.0%
P2
49.1%
38.1%
P3
52.5%
52.2%
OT
45.8%
25.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.6%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2015 | 3 | 16:01 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 10, 2015 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 10, 2015 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Apr 10, 2015 | 2 | 08:44 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 10, 2015 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 10:38 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |