Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Duchene 54.1% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 23-21 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 72.5%
Defensive zone
Sutter 69.8%
Neutral zone
Duchene 50.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Sutter
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
23
(44 meetings)
21
23
Sutter
Duchene
Last 10: Sutter 6-4 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
8
12
Sutter
Duchene
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
8
7
Sutter
Duchene
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
5
4
Sutter
Duchene
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
53.9% (10,396)
-3.0%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
56.9% (1,665)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
49.1% (468)
-2.7%
On power play, Duchene has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Sutter is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,698).
Sutter shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,494).
Home / Away
Sutter
Duchene
Home
50.6% (5,050)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Sutter
Duchene
P1
48.7%
54.5%
P2
50.3%
54.5%
P3
51.5%
53.4%
OT
50.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2017 | 3 | 12:22 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 25, 2017 | 3 | 06:00 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 25, 2017 | 3 | 05:52 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 25, 2017 | 2 | 18:33 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 25, 2017 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 25, 2017 | 1 | 17:17 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 2, 2017 | 1 | 19:48 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 26, 2016 | OT | 04:52 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 05:39 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 1 | 13:28 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 1 | 02:20 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 07:29 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 1 | 17:47 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 3 | 04:20 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 2 | 19:33 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 2 | 19:27 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 2 | 17:17 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 4, 2015 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |