Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Sutter wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 44.7% vs Duchene 50.4% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sutter 54.9%
Defensive zone
Sutter 84.7%
Neutral zone
Sutter 65.5%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Sutter
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Sutter
Duchene
Last 7: Sutter 1-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
4
Sutter
Duchene
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Sutter
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,027)
50.5% (1,070)
-5.8%
Power Play
45.3% (75)
49.3% (136)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (225)
50.0% (20)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Sutter is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (895).
Sutter shoots right. Duchene is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Sutter
Duchene
Home
44.3% (705)
49.8% (633)
Away
44.4% (644)
51.1% (613)
By Period
Sutter
Duchene
P1
41.0%
51.0%
P2
42.1%
51.5%
P3
49.1%
49.1%
OT
50.0%
36.8%
Final 5 min
46.6%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
44.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2010 | 3 | 00:32 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 2 | 06:35 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 2 | 00:38 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 1 | 07:36 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 1 | 04:32 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 1 | 04:29 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 1 | 04:03 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |