Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hendricks on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sutter wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hendricks shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 54.0% vs Hendricks 54.8% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sutter 54.1%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 58.1%
Neutral zone
Hendricks 51.7%
Result
Matt Hendricks favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Sutter
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Sutter
Hendricks
Last 8: Sutter 3-5 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
1
3
Sutter
Hendricks
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Sutter
Hendricks
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (1,088)
60.9% (184)
-6.3%
Power Play
59.3% (150)
100.0% (1)
-40.7%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (214)
40.4% (47)
+8.7%
On power play, Hendricks has a +40.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Sutter is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,013).
Sutter shoots right. Hendricks is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (99).
Home / Away
Sutter
Hendricks
Home
55.0% (714)
62.3% (114)
Away
53.5% (738)
51.7% (118)
By Period
Sutter
Hendricks
P1
54.3%
51.3%
P2
53.1%
63.0%
P3
54.8%
56.2%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 19:52 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 16:42 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 13:53 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 1 | 18:14 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 31, 2016 | 1 | 11:15 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |