Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.2% vs 50.2%). Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Peca 50.2% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sutter 53.6%
Defensive zone
Sutter 79.8%
Neutral zone
Sutter 68.5%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Sutter
Peca
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Sutter
Peca
Last 8: Sutter 6-2 Peca
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sutter
Peca
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
3
1
Sutter
Peca
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
2
0
Sutter
Peca
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Peca
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (7,610)
51.5% (423)
-0.6%
Power Play
52.8% (627)
12.5% (8)
+40.3%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (1,797)
44.2% (43)
+2.2%
On power play, Sutter has a +40.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peca shoots left. Sutter is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (6,698).
Sutter shoots right. Peca is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Sutter
Peca
Home
50.6% (5,050)
46.1% (193)
Away
49.8% (5,033)
53.0% (281)
By Period
Sutter
Peca
P1
48.7%
56.6%
P2
50.3%
44.4%
P3
51.5%
50.3%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 14:35 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 2 | 03:38 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 07:58 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 03:18 | Offensive | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 02:00 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |