Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Thompson 51.1% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sutter 54.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 55.7%
Neutral zone
Sutter 60.9%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Sutter
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Sutter
Thompson
Last 9: Sutter 3-6 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Sutter
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
4
Sutter
Thompson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (565)
52.6% (462)
-2.3%
Power Play
50.0% (64)
80.0% (10)
-30.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (132)
44.4% (133)
+5.6%
On power play, Thompson has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Sutter is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (469).
Sutter shoots right. Thompson is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Sutter
Thompson
Home
53.5% (381)
52.5% (324)
Away
46.8% (380)
49.8% (281)
By Period
Sutter
Thompson
P1
48.6%
49.0%
P2
52.1%
55.4%
P3
50.0%
48.3%
OT
50.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
45.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 05:19 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 18:16 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 3 | 14:23 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 3 | 11:29 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 2 | 18:51 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 2 | 15:35 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 2 | 07:52 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 1 | 18:02 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |