Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.6% vs Thompson 52.5% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 59.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 61.5%
Neutral zone
Thompson 60.4%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 60.7%
39.3%
60.7%
Sutter
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Sutter
Thompson
Last 7: Sutter 5-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
3
0
Sutter
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Sutter
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,022)
54.4% (870)
-3.4%
Power Play
57.7% (104)
45.8% (24)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (233)
45.1% (162)
+0.8%
On power play, Sutter has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Sutter is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (853).
Sutter shoots right. Thompson is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Sutter
Thompson
Home
51.4% (692)
55.3% (510)
Away
49.8% (667)
50.4% (546)
By Period
Sutter
Thompson
P1
50.6%
53.5%
P2
49.1%
52.2%
P3
52.5%
52.7%
OT
45.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.6%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2015 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 2 | 10:17 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 1 | 09:48 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 08:35 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 05:37 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |