Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sutter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Sutter wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 54.0% vs Thompson 52.2% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Sutter leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Sutter 61.8%
Defensive zone
Sutter 65.8%
Neutral zone
Thompson 50.5%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Sutter
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Sutter
Thompson
Last 10: Sutter 6-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
3
Sutter
Thompson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
4
0
Sutter
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Sutter
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (1,088)
56.3% (199)
-1.7%
Power Play
59.3% (150)
66.7% (6)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (214)
35.0% (40)
+14.1%
On penalty kill, Sutter has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Sutter is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,013).
Sutter shoots right. Thompson is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (107).
Home / Away
Sutter
Thompson
Home
55.0% (714)
59.5% (116)
Away
53.5% (738)
47.3% (129)
By Period
Sutter
Thompson
P1
54.3%
47.4%
P2
53.1%
56.2%
P3
54.8%
55.1%
Final 5 min
53.2%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2017 | 3 | 01:54 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 06:58 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 01:59 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 01:49 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 19:32 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 04:47 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 11:41 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 06:35 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 00:17 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |