Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 54.6% vs Thompson 50.3% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 57.0%
Defensive zone
Sutter 54.8%
Neutral zone
Sutter 50.8%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Sutter
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Sutter
Thompson
Last 5: Sutter 2-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Sutter
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Sutter
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (390)
49.6% (230)
+5.8%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
50.0% (2)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
54.7% (95)
53.8% (52)
+0.9%
On power play, Sutter has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Sutter is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Sutter shoots right. Thompson is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Sutter
Thompson
Home
57.3% (260)
52.2% (134)
Away
53.6% (237)
48.7% (150)
By Period
Sutter
Thompson
P1
54.4%
54.5%
P2
57.3%
48.0%
P3
54.8%
48.2%
Final 5 min
51.1%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
55.5%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2021 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 19:55 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 1 | 19:57 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 3 | 19:16 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 3 | 16:26 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |