Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.2% vs Bjugstad 44.4% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 81.0%
Defensive zone
Sutter 59.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 58.3%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Sutter
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Sutter
Bjugstad
Last 7: Sutter 3-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Sutter
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
2
0
Sutter
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Sutter
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (565)
37.8% (119)
+12.5%
Power Play
50.0% (64)
60.0% (10)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (132)
66.7% (3)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Sutter is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Sutter shoots right. Bjugstad is 35.9% vs right-shot opponents (39).
Home / Away
Sutter
Bjugstad
Home
53.5% (381)
40.7% (59)
Away
46.8% (380)
39.7% (73)
By Period
Sutter
Bjugstad
P1
48.6%
44.7%
P2
52.1%
38.1%
P3
50.0%
37.2%
Final 5 min
45.5%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2013 | 3 | 13:10 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 3 | 06:24 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 2 | 06:42 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 00:13 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |