Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 50.6% vs Bonino 47.6% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 64.0%
Defensive zone
Bonino 66.2%
Neutral zone
Bonino 66.6%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Sutter
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Sutter
Bonino
Last 9: Sutter 3-6 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
3
Sutter
Bonino
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sutter
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Sutter
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (1,022)
48.2% (926)
+2.8%
Power Play
57.7% (104)
48.6% (109)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (233)
43.3% (210)
+2.6%
On power play, Sutter has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Sutter is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (853).
Sutter shoots right. Bonino is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
Sutter
Bonino
Home
51.4% (692)
47.8% (653)
Away
49.8% (667)
47.0% (592)
By Period
Sutter
Bonino
P1
50.6%
45.9%
P2
49.1%
47.0%
P3
52.5%
49.4%
OT
45.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.6%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 04:40 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 1 | 08:34 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 12:19 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 12:13 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 11:54 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 11:54 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 07:57 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |