Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Sutter wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 51.9% vs Bonino 50.4% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 67.7%
Defensive zone
Bonino 68.3%
Neutral zone
Bonino 68.9%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 68.7%
31.3%
68.7%
Sutter
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Sutter
Bonino
Last 7: Sutter 1-6 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Sutter
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
4
Sutter
Bonino
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (187)
50.2% (691)
+3.8%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
61.5% (78)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
45.6% (149)
+3.4%
On power play, Bonino has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Sutter is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Sutter shoots right. Bonino is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Sutter
Bonino
Home
57.3% (164)
52.7% (467)
Away
45.6% (114)
48.1% (451)
By Period
Sutter
Bonino
P1
49.4%
48.9%
P2
52.3%
50.2%
P3
54.3%
51.7%
OT
71.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
52.5%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 12:03 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 07:17 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 2 | 19:52 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 2 | 15:45 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 1 | 15:50 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 1 | 09:46 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |